Takeaways:

  1. BENEFITS AND RISKS of Bitcoin
  2. IMPACT OF THE DIGITAL CURRENCY REVOLUTION
  3. Smart contract for a sharing economy
  4. As soon as the full supply of 21 million bitcoins is issued by the year 2040, which is still very distant, the risk of miners dropping out may increase. If the only reward is transaction fees and if fees become too high, the merchants are likely to drop out.
  5. There are technical solutions to all these and some cryptocurrencies have come up with the idea of proof of stake reducing the probability that any single person can use a quantum computer to overwrite the whole system. There are also attempts to lower the cost of mining so as to reduce the so-called 51% attack or gold finger problem. However, there is still no foolproof solution to the gold finger issue that if anyone with enough financial strength wishes to mess up the record, he or she can theoretically do it.
  6. There are also cryptocurrencies that are looking into proof of identity to reduce the possibility of using the currency for money laundering or terrorism activities. If that problem can be resolved, cryptocurrency has a very real potential to be very popular. If a particular cryptocurrency is able to accept that the government is part of the ecosystem and its community engages with the government meaningfully in creating the ecosystem, that cryptocurrency is likely to become more widely accepted. Given that most of the welfare improvement comes from the bottom of the wealth pyramid, emerging markets have the upper hand in harnessing the low-hanging fruits of cryptocurrency via a decentralized but not necessary distributed system. A cryptocurrency that addresses those issues mentioned will have a bright future.
  7. Bitcoin faces a long-term structural economic problem related to the absolute limit of 21 million units that can ever be issued, with no expansion possible of the bitcoin supply after the year 2140. If bitcoin becomes wildly successful and displaces sovereign fiat currencies, it would exert a deflationary force on the economy since the money supply would not increase in concert with economic growth.

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